Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.537561 0.641220 0.754534 0.886970 1.036854 1.200573 1.392256
2025-04-20 0.354415 0.489724 0.654187 0.865626 1.126869 1.435631 1.824441
2025-04-27 0.245308 0.390893 0.586348 0.859846 1.223828 1.682412 2.293669
2025-05-04 0.172648 0.316492 0.528761 0.849467 1.304698 1.909765 2.754365
2025-05-11 0.120475 0.254717 0.472143 0.825205 1.356466 2.096502 3.171054
2025-05-18 0.089578 0.216802 0.441203 0.829405 1.443182 2.331924 3.664191
2025-05-25 0.063489 0.177995 0.398897 0.806255 1.482251 2.497949 4.066652
2025-06-01 0.048502 0.155719 0.379739 0.816082 1.569948 2.737278 4.583808
2025-06-08 0.035868 0.133355 0.354750 0.810438 1.629495 2.935098 5.047782
2025-06-15 0.030006 0.125559 0.357120 0.853991 1.773519 3.270456 5.732502
2025-06-22 0.024007 0.114577 0.349974 0.877597 1.883751 3.557018 6.354368
2025-06-29 0.017061 0.096653 0.322485 0.856183 1.910800 3.708945 6.772345
2025-07-06 0.013003 0.086430 0.311757 0.869199 2.004392 3.980532 7.399929
2025-07-13 0.009546 0.075970 0.297769 0.873335 2.082073 4.230769 8.006929
2025-07-20 0.006960 0.067005 0.285295 0.878782 2.162358 4.489583 8.639221
2025-07-27 0.004825 0.057837 0.269292 0.873206 2.219703 4.710714 9.218020
2025-08-03 0.003066 0.048087 0.247885 0.850580 2.239546 4.865218 9.690697
2025-08-10 0.002126 0.042469 0.238294 0.855845 2.317029 5.126499 10.352730
2025-08-17 0.001259 0.035090 0.219195 0.832538 2.330756 5.270437 10.817978
2025-08-24 0.000852 0.031398 0.212893 0.842801 2.417764 5.553644 11.532680
2025-08-31 0.000513 0.027009 0.201683 0.837095 2.468184 5.769419 12.136033
2025-09-07 0.000408 0.026386 0.207333 0.881793 2.636554 6.217673 13.163914
2025-09-14 0.000282 0.024507 0.206266 0.906011 2.758980 6.581652 14.052048